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Abortion Polls: What They Do and Don’t Tell Us
The Supreme Court’s rejection of a Louisiana law that restricts access to abortion may have lobbed that issue into the middle of the 2020 election campaign. While Justice Brett Kavanaugh promised...
View ArticleDid Professor Allan Lichtman correctly “predict” the winner of the 2016...
This month, American University Professor Allan Lichtman made his widely anticipated prediction of who would win the 2020 presidential election. Touted as the “historian who has accurately called...
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Are Fears of a “Red Mirage” Nightmare on Election Night Overblown? Probably…
In the past few weeks, numerous news articles have raised the specter of chaos and confusion on Election Night because of the way ballots are counted. This concern was highlighted in an article in New...
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The 2020 Election Polls Were Even Worse Than It Appears
In the days following the election, many pundits argued “the polls were wrong again and much of America wants to know why.” (If you search for “why the polls were wrong in 2020”, you’ll find scores of...
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Is Public Opinion Leaning toward Convicting Trump in Impeachment Trial?
A batch of new polls suggest that more Americans want the U.S. Senate to convict than acquit former President Donald Trump of impeachment charges. In fact, Washington Post columnist Jennifer Rubin...
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Are Americans More ‘Pro-Life’ or ‘Pro-Choice’ on Abortion? Question Wording...
In a recent article in National Review, Ramesh Ponnuru cites Gallup data suggesting that women are more “pro-life” than “pro-choice.” The article was prompted by a claim from Meghan McCain, TV...
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Does The Public REALLY Have An Opinion About Afghanistan?
In a recent New York Times op-ed, Mark Hannah, a senior fellow at the Eurasia Group Foundation, presents a case for the United States to withdraw from Afghanistan. I offer no commentary on the general...
View ArticleAP’s Post-Election Analysis Shows Its Early Call for Arizona on Election...
Early this month, the Associated Press (AP) and the National Opinion Research Center (NORC) at the University of Chicago issued a report “Assessing APVoteCast2020.” Perhaps the most striking finding,...
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Report: 2020 national, statewide polls worst in decades. Congressional...
“The 2020 polls featured polling error of an unusual magnitude,” according to a just released report by the American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR). “It was the highest in 40 years...
View ArticleHow NYT Columnist Ross Douthat used ambiguous poll results to create a...
In July 2020, the Cato Institute, described as a Libertarian think tank, released the results of its own poll focusing on the issue of self-censorship. In an article this month comparing life in...
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